Whitepaper —
Sustainable Aviation Fuels 2030 – Our Perspective
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Sustainable Aviation Fuels are a key element for the reduction of aviation-related carbon emissions.
Despite demonstrated in-flight usability and approved production pathways using sustainable resources such as waste oils from a biological origin, agricultural residues, or non-fossil CO2, the availability of substantial SAF volumes is still minor – in Germany, Europe and globally.
The SAF 2030 study by CBR gives a holistic overview on current market and technology developments until 2030.
1 - Market Dynamics
Accelerated formation of SAF cross-industry consortia representing leaving room for new entrants addressing regulatory driven SAF demand.
2 - Market Players
Various player are entering the SAF market, from the traditional Oil & Gas business, energy sector as well as project and technology developers, leveraging existing infrastructure, feedstocks and technologies.
3 - SAF Availability
In 2030, SAF production capacity is anticipated to cover only ~3% of global demand, with a substantial portion already contracted by traders and airlines.
4 - Technology
Amongst eight ASTM approved production pathways, HEFA is clearly the leading SAF technology at present with production on commercial scale.
In 2030, SAF supply is anticipated to cover only ~3% of global demand based on current production capacity ramp-up.
70+
SAF Players
100+
SAF Projects
Despite a growing number of >100 announced SAF projects, a small group of SAF players cover the majority of SAF supply in the future, leading to an oligopoly market structure.
