Whitepaper

Sustainable Aviation Fuels 2030 – Our Perspective

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Sustainable Aviation Fuels are a key element for the reduction of aviation-related carbon emissions.

Despite demonstrated in-flight usability and approved production pathways using sustainable resources such as waste oils from a biological origin, agricultural residues, or non-fossil CO2, the availability of substantial SAF volumes is still minor – in Germany, Europe and globally.

​The SAF 2030 study by CBR gives a holistic overview on current market and technology developments until 2030.

1 - Market Dynamics

Accelerated formation of SAF cross-industry consortia representing leaving room for new entrants addressing regulatory driven SAF demand.

2 - Market Players

Various player are entering the SAF market, from the traditional Oil & Gas business, energy sector as well as project and technology developers, leveraging existing infrastructure, feedstocks and technologies.

3 - SAF Availability

In 2030, SAF production capacity is anticipated to cover only ~3% of global demand, with a substantial portion already contracted by traders and airlines.

4 - Technology

Amongst eight ASTM approved production pathways, HEFA is clearly the leading SAF technology at present with production on commercial scale.

In 2030, SAF supply is anticipated to cover only ~3% of global demand based on current production capacity ramp-up.

70+

SAF Players

100+

SAF Projects

Despite a growing number of >100 announced SAF projects, a small group of SAF players cover the majority of SAF supply in the future, leading to an oligopoly market structure.

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